Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.004334 0.004561 0.004794 0.005052 0.005329 0.005618 0.005943
2024-12-29 0.003866 0.004197 0.004551 0.004959 0.005420 0.005924 0.006523
2025-01-05 0.003573 0.003957 0.004380 0.004884 0.005470 0.006135 0.006954
2025-01-12 0.003398 0.003825 0.004307 0.004894 0.005597 0.006419 0.007463
2025-01-19 0.003152 0.003591 0.004096 0.004722 0.005488 0.006403 0.007597
2025-01-26 0.003043 0.003509 0.004053 0.004742 0.005602 0.006654 0.008064
2025-02-02 0.003004 0.003506 0.004102 0.004870 0.005849 0.007077 0.008769
2025-02-09 0.002879 0.003391 0.004006 0.004810 0.005853 0.007186 0.009063
2025-02-16 0.002789 0.003313 0.003951 0.004797 0.005912 0.007365 0.009457
2025-02-23 0.002697 0.003229 0.003883 0.004762 0.005939 0.007498 0.009791
2025-03-02 0.002651 0.003200 0.003883 0.004815 0.006081 0.007791 0.010364
2025-03-09 0.002577 0.003132 0.003831 0.004793 0.006120 0.007941 0.010735
2025-03-16 0.002497 0.003055 0.003764 0.004753 0.006134 0.008060 0.011075
2025-03-23 0.002403 0.002957 0.003667 0.004667 0.006080 0.008080 0.011266
2025-03-30 0.002321 0.002873 0.003585 0.004598 0.006046 0.008123 0.011492
2025-04-06 0.002275 0.002834 0.003562 0.004607 0.006124 0.008334 0.011994
2025-04-13 0.002169 0.002712 0.003422 0.004449 0.005949 0.008157 0.011857
2025-04-20 0.002133 0.002682 0.003407 0.004467 0.006035 0.008378 0.012384
2025-04-27 0.002134 0.002703 0.003462 0.004585 0.006273 0.008845 0.013356
2025-05-04 0.002076 0.002640 0.003399 0.004530 0.006246 0.008893 0.013610
2025-05-11 0.002035 0.002601 0.003366 0.004517 0.006284 0.009044 0.014055
2025-05-18 0.001989 0.002554 0.003322 0.004486 0.006290 0.009144 0.014411
2025-05-25 0.001972 0.002545 0.003331 0.004534 0.006422 0.009457 0.015179